Roda vs Ontinyent 1931: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Ontinyent 1931 the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Ontinyent 1931?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Roda (1,724) and Ontinyent 1931 (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ontinyent 1931 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Crevillente(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Soneja(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Buñol(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Utiel(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Atzeneta(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Saguntino(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roda win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ontinyent 1931 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Roda 0-2 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Ontinyent 1931 1-2 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ontinyent 1931 0-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Roda 2-2 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 1, 2024 | Roda 2-0 Ontinyent 1931 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Ontinyent 1931 1-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Roda vs Ontinyent 1931 on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ontinyent 1931 score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ontinyent 1931 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roda sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (40 points from 34 matches) and Ontinyent 1931 sit 8th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ontinyent 1931 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 48 |
| 12 | Roda | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 45 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Ontinyent 1931?
- The Footlab model makes Ontinyent 1931 the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Roda.
- Where and when is Roda vs Ontinyent 1931 played?
- Roda vs Ontinyent 1931 is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.