Roda vs Villarreal III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal III wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Villarreal III?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Roda vs Villarreal III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Roda
Not enough data to predict the Roda lineup.
Villarreal III
Not enough data to predict the Villarreal III lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal III have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jove Español(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SC Torrevieja(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Utiel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villarreal III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crevillente(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buñol(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ontinyent 1931(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Saguntino(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Roda win, 3 draws, 2 Villarreal III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villarreal III 2-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Villarreal III 4-1 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Roda 0-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Roda 0-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Villarreal III 0-0 Roda | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Roda 2-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal III vs Roda on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roda sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (9 points from 6 matches) and Villarreal III sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Roda | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Roda vs Villarreal III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Villarreal III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal III the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Roda.
- Where and when is Roda vs Villarreal III played?
- Roda vs Villarreal III is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Pamesa Cerámica, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.