Roma W vs AC Milan W: prediction and stats
Serie A WomenRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tre Fontane, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes Roma W the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for AC Milan W. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roma W vs AC Milan W?
Roma W starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (2,187 vs 1,928).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Roma W vs AC Milan W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Roma W
4-1-4-1- 18M. Piemonte
- 10M. Giugliano
- 20G. Greggi
- 29A. Rieke
- 6M. Doms
- 25F. Thøgersen
- 13E. Oliviero
- 23V. Bergamaschi
- 19S. Oladipo
- 12E. Ottey
- 24R. Baldi
AC Milan W
4-1-3-2- 11C. Grimshaw
- 9S. Fornes
- 12M. Mascarello
- 8G. Arrigoni
- 19D. Arboleda
- 33E. Bonanomi
- 21M. Keijzer
- 6N. Sorelli
- 20A. Soffia
- 47Nerea Nevado
- 1S. Estevez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roma W have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; AC Milan W have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lazio W(home) | 3-1 | Serie A Women |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Barcelona W(home) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sassuolo W(away) | 3-1 | Serie A Women |
| Sep 23, 2026 | OH Leuven W(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Juventus W(away) | 2-2 | Serie A Cup Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juventus W(home) | 2-1 | Serie A Women |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Como 1907 W(away) | 1-4 | Serie A Women |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Juventus W(away) | 0-1 | Serie A Cup Women |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Como W(home) | 2-1 | Serie A Cup Women |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Como W(home) | 1-1 | Serie A Cup Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roma W wins, 1 draw, 2 AC Milan W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Roma W 1-0 AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
| Oct 12, 2025 | AC Milan W 1-2 Roma W | Serie A Women |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Roma W 1-0 AC Milan W | Serie A Cup Women |
| May 4, 2025 | Roma W 3-3 AC Milan W | Serie A Women |
| Mar 22, 2025 | AC Milan W 3-1 Roma W | Serie A Women |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AC Milan W 3-2 Roma W | Serie A Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Roma W score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan W score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma W | 2.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| AC Milan W | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roma W sit 1st in Serie A Women (6 points from 2 matches) and AC Milan W sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
A question about Roma W vs AC Milan W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roma W vs AC Milan W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Roma W the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for AC Milan W.
- Where and when is Roma W vs AC Milan W played?
- Roma W vs AC Milan W is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tre Fontane, in the Serie A Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.