Rops vs KäPa: prediction and stats
YkkösliigaFinalKick-off on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rovaniemen Keskuskenttä, Rovaniemi
The Footlab AI model makes Rops the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for KäPa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rops wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,856 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rops vs KäPa?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Rops (1,537) and KäPa (1,458).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rops vs KäPa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rops
4-3-3- 9O. Suutari
- 10A. Mekki
- 11T. Varhi
- 14R. Cato
- 23F. Heiserholt
- 35V. Mantymaki
- 4J. Koistinen
- 2A. Oinas
- 28K. Veeti
- 13T. Listo
- 30D. Berry
KäPa
4-3-3- 10Y. Lika
- 28E. Lappalainen
- 22D. Ripatti
- 7N. Leinonen
- 11S. Sillah
- 8R. Huhtamäki
- 2U. Huhtamäki
- 4P. Hietalahti
- 3S. Puputti
- 37O. Heinonen
- 1T. Collin
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rops have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; KäPa have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tampere United(away) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | JJK(home) | 6-1 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SalPa(home) | 3-1 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | PKKU(away) | 1-3 | Ykkönen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | OLS(home) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | EIF(away) | 2-3 | Ykkösliiga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | MP(home) | 1-1 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Haka(home) | 3-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SJK Akatemia(away) | 3-2 | Ykkösliiga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PK-35(home) | 1-4 | Ykkösliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rops score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; KäPa score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rops | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| KäPa | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | KäPa | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 49 | 25 |
A question about Rops vs KäPa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rops vs KäPa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rops the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for KäPa.
- Where and when is Rops vs KäPa played?
- Rops vs KäPa is played on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rovaniemen Keskuskenttä, in the Ykkösliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.