Roskilde vs Fremad Amager: result 1-0 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 11, 2016 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Roskilde Idrætspark, Roskilde
Full time
What was the result of Roskilde vs Fremad Amager?
Roskilde won 1-0 on September 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 65′J. BechRoskilde
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roskilde have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fremad Amager have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2016 | Skovshoved(away) | 3-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 4, 2016 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 29, 2016 | HB Koge(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2016 | FC Helsingor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Naestved(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2016 | VB 1968(away) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Skive(home) | 5-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2016 | HB Koge(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2016 | Avarta(home) | 2-1 | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Roskilde score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fremad Amager score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fremad Amager | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy