Rotor Volgograd vs Nizhny Novgorod: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Nizhny Novgorod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Nizhny Novgorod?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Rotor Volgograd (1,842) and Nizhny Novgorod (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotor Volgograd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nizhny Novgorod have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rotor Volgograd win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Nizhny Novgorod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod 4-2 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Rotor Volgograd 2-1 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Rotor Volgograd 2-1 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
Last archived meeting: Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rotor Volgograd score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotor Volgograd sit 10th in First League (10 points from 8 matches) and Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotor Volgograd vs Nizhny Novgorod?
- The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Nizhny Novgorod.
- Where and when is Rotor Volgograd vs Nizhny Novgorod played?
- Rotor Volgograd vs Nizhny Novgorod is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Volgograd Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.