Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ak Bars Arena, Kazan'
The Footlab model makes Rubin the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Makhachkala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Rubin (1,929) and Dinamo Makhachkala (1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubin have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Makhachkala have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rostov(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 0-5 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Rubin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Makhachkala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-1 Rubin | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Rubin 1-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Dinamo Makhachkala 2-3 Rubin | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Rubin 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | Premier League |
| May 27, 2023 | Rubin 2-0 Dinamo Makhachkala | First League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Dinamo Makhachkala 0-1 Rubin | First League |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala vs Rubin on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubin sit 8th in Premier League (6 points from 5 matches) and Dinamo Makhachkala sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | Rubin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
- The Footlab model makes Rubin the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Makhachkala.
- Where and when is Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala played?
- Rubin vs Dinamo Makhachkala is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ak Bars Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.