Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rudar, Trbovlje
The Footlab model makes Rudar Trbovlje the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Svoboda. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda?
Rudar Trbovlje starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,485 vs 1,349).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rudar Trbovlje have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Svoboda have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Litija(away) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Dob(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Izola(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rudar Trbovlje win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Svoboda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje 0-1 Svoboda | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Svoboda 2-2 Rudar Trbovlje | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rudar Trbovlje score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Svoboda score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudar Trbovlje | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Svoboda | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rudar Trbovlje sit 6th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 2 matches) and Svoboda sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rudar Trbovlje | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Svoboda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda?
- The Footlab model makes Rudar Trbovlje the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Svoboda.
- Where and when is Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda played?
- Rudar Trbovlje vs Svoboda is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rudar, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.