Žiri vs Šobec Lesce: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športnem Parku Polje, Žiri
The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Žiri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žiri vs Šobec Lesce?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Žiri (1,377) and Šobec Lesce (1,388).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žiri have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Šobec Lesce have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vipava(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Adria(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Tolmin(home) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 10, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(home) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 17, 2026 | Izola(away) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-5 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Žiri win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Šobec Lesce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Šobec Lesce 2-1 Žiri | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Žiri 1-1 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Žiri 2-1 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Žiri 1-0 Šobec Lesce | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Žiri score 1.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Šobec Lesce score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žiri | 1.2 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Šobec Lesce | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žiri sit 5th in 3. SNL - West (4 points from 2 matches) and Šobec Lesce sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Žiri | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Šobec Lesce | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žiri vs Šobec Lesce?
- The Footlab model makes Šobec Lesce the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Žiri.
- Where and when is Žiri vs Šobec Lesce played?
- Žiri vs Šobec Lesce is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športnem Parku Polje, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.