Rudar vs Slovan Ljubljana: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Ob Jezeru, Velenje
The Footlab model makes Rudar the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Slovan Ljubljana. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rudar vs Slovan Ljubljana?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Rudar (1,516) and Slovan Ljubljana (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rudar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Slovan Ljubljana have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilirija(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krka(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Dekani(home) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Krka(away) | 3-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 5-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Rudar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slovan Ljubljana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Rudar 4-0 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Slovan Ljubljana 0-3 Rudar | 2. SNL |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Rudar 0-2 Slovan Ljubljana | 2. SNL |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Rudar | 2. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Rudar vs Slovan Ljubljana on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rudar score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Ljubljana score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudar | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Slovan Ljubljana | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rudar sit 12th in 2. SNL (3 points from 3 matches) and Slovan Ljubljana sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Slovan Ljubljana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Rudar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rudar vs Slovan Ljubljana?
- The Footlab model makes Rudar the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Slovan Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Rudar vs Slovan Ljubljana played?
- Rudar vs Slovan Ljubljana is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Ob Jezeru, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.