Brežice vs Krško: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Brežice, Brežice
The Footlab model makes Brežice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Krško. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brežice vs Krško?
Brežice starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,507 vs 1,371).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brežice have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Krško have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Zavrč(home) | 6-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Rače(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Gorica(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dravinja(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Brežice win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Krško win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2022 | Krško 2-1 Brežice | 2. SNL |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Brežice 0-0 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Brežice 1-1 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Brežice 0-1 Krško | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Brežice score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Krško score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brežice | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Krško | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brežice sit 15th in 2. SNL (0 points from 2 matches) and Krško sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Krško | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Brežice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brežice vs Krško?
- The Footlab model makes Brežice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Krško.
- Where and when is Brežice vs Krško played?
- Brežice vs Krško is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Brežice, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.