Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Tabor Sežana the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana?
Tabor Sežana starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,606 vs 1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tabor Sežana have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Krško(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 17, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(away) | 1-5 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilirija win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tabor Sežana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Ilirija 2-3 Tabor Sežana | 2. SNL |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Tabor Sežana 1-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Ilirija 1-1 Tabor Sežana | 2. SNL |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tabor Sežana 5-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Ilirija 2-0 Tabor Sežana | 2. SNL |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Tabor Sežana 0-3 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tabor Sežana score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tabor Sežana | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 2nd in 2. SNL (9 points from 3 matches) and Tabor Sežana sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sežana | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana?
- The Footlab model makes Tabor Sežana the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ilirija.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana played?
- Ilirija vs Tabor Sežana is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.