Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Playing Fields, Ruthin / Rhuthun, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Ruthin Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Ruthin Town (1,497) and Gresford Athletic (1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruthin Town have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Gresford Athletic have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ruthin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gresford Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Ruthin Town 2-1 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 2-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 1-0 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Ruthin Town 4-0 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Gresford Athletic 1-2 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Ruthin Town 1-1 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gresford Athletic score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gresford Athletic | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruthin Town sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Gresford Athletic sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Gresford Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Ruthin Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic played?
- Ruthin Town vs Gresford Athletic is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Playing Fields, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.