Newtown AFC vs Rhyl: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Rhyl. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newtown AFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Rhyl?
On Elo ratings, Newtown AFC has 1,738 points and Rhyl 1,649.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newtown AFC vs Rhyl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Rhyl
4-3-3- 9J. Parry
- 11A. Jones
- AAaron Hassall
- 8B. Lightfoot
- 7M. Murray
- 2B. Lawrence
- 5Mohamud Ali Mohamed
- 3B. Holmes
- 5R. Fairhurst
- RReece Fairhurst
- 1A. Swindell
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Rhyl have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Newtown AFC wins, 0 draws, 1 Rhyl win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Newtown AFC 6-1 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Rhyl 2-5 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Newtown AFC 4-1 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Newtown AFC 1-2 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Rhyl 0-2 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Newtown AFC 3-2 Rhyl | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rhyl score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Rhyl | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 2nd in FAW Championship (23 points from 10 matches) and Rhyl sit 11th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 11 |
A question about Newtown AFC vs Rhyl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Rhyl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Rhyl.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Rhyl played?
- Newtown AFC vs Rhyl is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.