Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
The Footlab model makes Penrhyncoch the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Penrhyncoch (1,540) and Ruthin Town (1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Ruthin Town have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penrhyncoch win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ruthin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 1-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Ruthin Town 3-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-0 Penrhyncoch | League Cup |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 1-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Ruthin Town 2-3 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Ruthin Town 2-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town on Dec 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ruthin Town score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ruthin Town | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 15th in FAW Championship (0 points from 3 matches) and Ruthin Town sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ruthin Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Penrhyncoch the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town played?
- Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cae Baker, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.