Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cae Baker, Penrhyncoch, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Penrhyncoch the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ruthin Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penrhyncoch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Penrhyncoch (1,505) and Ruthin Town (1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Ruthin Town
Not enough data to predict the Ruthin Town lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 05:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penrhyncoch have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Ruthin Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penrhyncoch win, 2 draws, 3 Ruthin Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town 2-0 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 1-1 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Ruthin Town 3-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Ruthin Town 0-0 Penrhyncoch | League Cup |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 1-3 Ruthin Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Ruthin Town 2-3 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penrhyncoch score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ruthin Town score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Ruthin Town | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penrhyncoch sit 16th in FAW Championship (1 point from 11 matches) and Ruthin Town sit 13th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penrhyncoch the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ruthin Town.
- Where and when is Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town played?
- Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cae Baker, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.