RWDM vs Olympic Charleroi: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Edmond Machtensstadion, Bruxelles
The Footlab model makes RWDM the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Olympic Charleroi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RWDM vs Olympic Charleroi?
RWDM starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RWDM have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Olympic Charleroi have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 0-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 RWDM win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Olympic Charleroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Olympic Charleroi 0-2 RWDM | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | RWDM 3-3 Olympic Charleroi | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | RWDM 1-0 Olympic Charleroi | Cup |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Olympic Charleroi 0-0 RWDM | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 9, 2019 | RWDM 2-1 Olympic Charleroi | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Olympic Charleroi vs RWDM on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RWDM score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Charleroi score 0.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWDM | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Olympic Charleroi | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RWDM vs Olympic Charleroi?
- The Footlab model makes RWDM the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Olympic Charleroi.
- Where and when is RWDM vs Olympic Charleroi played?
- RWDM vs Olympic Charleroi is played on January 16, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Edmond Machtensstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.