RWDM vs Onhaye: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Edmond Machtensstadion, Bruxelles
The Footlab model makes Onhaye the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for RWDM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RWDM vs Onhaye?
Onhaye starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RWDM have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Onhaye have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tempo Overijse(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tilffois(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Entité Manageoise(home) | 4-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Braine(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | La Calamine(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
RWDM score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Onhaye score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWDM | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Onhaye | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RWDM vs Onhaye?
- The Footlab model makes Onhaye the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for RWDM.
- Where and when is RWDM vs Onhaye played?
- RWDM vs Onhaye is played on November 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Edmond Machtensstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.