Sabadell vs Burgos: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Burgos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sabadell wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabadell vs Burgos?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Sabadell (2,002) and Burgos (1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sabadell vs Burgos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sabadell
4-4-2- 23J. Priego
- 10Ángel Baena
- 7Ton Ripoll
- 22Q. Liameed
- 20Urri
- 8Pere Pons
- 6Edgar González
- 14Óscar Sanz
- 4Miki Codina
- 27José Luis Català
- 1Diego Fuoli
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabadell have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Burgos have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Sabadell score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sabadell sit 5th in Segunda División (16 points from 9 matches) and Burgos sit 8th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Sabadell vs Burgos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabadell vs Burgos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sabadell the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Burgos.
- Where and when is Sabadell vs Burgos played?
- Sabadell vs Burgos is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.