Match

Sable vs Tonnerre: prediction and stats

Elite TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

SableTonnerre

The Footlab AI model makes Sable the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tonnerre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sable wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sable vs Tonnerre?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Sable (1,573) and Tonnerre (1,554).

45%28%27%
Sable winDrawTonnerre win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sable vs Tonnerre

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sable

Not enough data to predict the Sable lineup.

Tonnerre

Not enough data to predict the Tonnerre lineup.

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sable have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Tonnerre have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sable
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Tonnerre(away)0-2Elite Two
Jun 21, 2026Tonnerre(home)2-2Elite Two
Jun 18, 2026Union Douala(away)1-1Elite Two
Jun 16, 2026Foncha ST(home)2-1Elite Two
Jun 13, 2026Bamboutos(away)2-0Elite Two
Tonnerre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Sable(home)2-0Elite Two
Jun 21, 2026Sable(away)2-2Elite Two
Jun 18, 2026Yafoot(home)1-1Elite Two
Jun 16, 2026Bafmeng United(away)0-0Elite Two
Jun 13, 2026FAP(home)1-0Elite Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sable wins, 1 draw, 1 Tonnerre win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Tonnerre 2-0 SableElite Two
Jun 21, 2026Sable 2-2 TonnerreElite Two

Last archived meeting: Tonnerre vs Sable on Oct 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sable score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tonnerre score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sable1.30.949/155/15
Tonnerre1.31.175/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sable sit 7th in Elite Two (0 points from 1 match) and Tonnerre sit 7th (0 points from 1 match).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.

Final 2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Sable1001120
7Tonnerre1001010

A question about Sable vs Tonnerre?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sable vs Tonnerre?
The Footlab AI model makes Sable the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Tonnerre.
Where and when is Sable vs Tonnerre played?
Sable vs Tonnerre is played on January 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Elite Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sable and Tonnerre

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