Where and when is Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia played?

Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the UEFA Europa League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi

Saburtalo

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Saburtalo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (2,059 vs 1,776).

Saburtalo win28 %

Draw25 %

Jagiellonia win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Saburtalo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Jagiellonia(away)	0-4	UEFA Europa League
Aug 15, 2026	Torpedo Kutaisi(away)	3-4	Erovnuli Liga
Aug 11, 2026	Larne(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 4, 2026	Larne(away)	0-0	UEFA Europa League
Jul 29, 2026	Slovan Bratislava(away)	1-1	UEFA Champions League

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Saburtalo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Jagiellonia 4-0 Saburtalo	UEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Saburtalo on Aug 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Saburtalo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Saburtalo	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	9/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Saburtalo.
Where and when is Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia played?: Saburtalo vs Jagiellonia is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the UEFA Europa League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.