Match

Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków

Cracovia KrakowJagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,949).

Cracovia Krakow win45 %
Draw27 %
Jagiellonia win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cracovia Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(home)3-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Raków Częstochowa(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026Pogon Szczecin(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Lech Poznan(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Saburtalo(home)4-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026Rangers(away)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026Rangers(home)2-1UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026Motor Lublin(away)2-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Cracovia Krakow 0-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Aug 10, 2025Jagiellonia 5-2 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Feb 23, 2025Cracovia Krakow 2-2 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Aug 17, 2024Jagiellonia 2-4 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Apr 14, 2024Jagiellonia 1-3 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
Oct 8, 2023Cracovia Krakow 2-4 JagielloniaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cracovia Krakow1.31.168/156/15
Jagiellonia1.70.777/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cracovia Krakow5221558
10Jagiellonia3201336

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia?
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia played?
Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cracovia Krakow and Jagiellonia

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