Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia?
Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Jagiellonia 5-2 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Jagiellonia 2-4 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Jagiellonia 1-3 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 2-4 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia played?
- Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Wisla PlockvsLegia Warszawa
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsGornik Zabrze
- Nov 21, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsSlask Wroclaw
- Nov 21, 2026Piast GliwicevsKorona Kielce
- Nov 21, 2026GKS KatowicevsLech Poznan
- Nov 21, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsWidzew Łódź
- Nov 21, 2026Radomiak RadomvsWisla Krakow
- Nov 21, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsMotor Lublin