Match

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

SAG CestasBayonne

The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for SAG Cestas. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SAG Cestas vs Bayonne?

Bayonne starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,649).

10%17%73%
SAG Cestas winDrawBayonne win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SAG Cestas vs Bayonne

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SAG Cestas

4-3-3
  1. JJulien Faye
  2. MMody Cissokho
  3. MManuel Couriat
  1. BBrice Maso
  2. AAnthony Gautier
  3. MM. Gazari
  1. MMorgan Rossignon
  2. TT. Lafon
  3. VV. Gombert
  4. AA. Hamza
  1. TTheo Panisset

Bayonne

Not enough data to predict the Bayonne lineup.

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SAG Cestas have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bayonne have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SAG Cestas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Alberes Argelès(away)1-0National 3 - Group A
May 9, 2026Castanet(home)1-0National 3 - Group A
Apr 25, 2026Bassin d'Arcachon Sud(away)2-2National 3 - Group A
Apr 19, 2026Anglet Genets(home)1-1National 3 - Group A
Apr 11, 2026Blagnac(away)1-0National 3 - Group A
Bayonne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Chauray(away)0-0National 2 - Group B
Oct 30, 2026Avranches(home)0-3National 2 - Group B
Oct 17, 2026Dinan Léhon(away)2-0National 2 - Group B
Oct 2, 2026Les Herbiers(home)0-1National 2 - Group B
Sep 19, 2026Angoulême(away)2-2National 2 - Group B

How many goals should we expect?

SAG Cestas score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bayonne score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SAG Cestas0.91.567/156/15
Bayonne1.31.067/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about SAG Cestas vs Bayonne?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SAG Cestas vs Bayonne?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for SAG Cestas.
Where and when is SAG Cestas vs Bayonne played?
SAG Cestas vs Bayonne is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SAG Cestas and Bayonne

Ready to know everything about football?