Bayonne vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Didier Deschamps, Bayonne
The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayonne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,156 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayonne vs Tarbes?
Bayonne starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,724).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bayonne vs Tarbes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bayonne
Not enough data to predict the Bayonne lineup.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayonne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tarbes have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bayonne wins, 2 draws, 0 Tarbes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | Tarbes 0-0 Bayonne | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Bayonne 0-0 Tarbes | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Bayonne score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayonne | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayonne sit 2nd in National 2 - Group B (16 points from 7 matches) and Tarbes sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayonne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Bayonne vs Tarbes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayonne vs Tarbes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Bayonne vs Tarbes played?
- Bayonne vs Tarbes is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Didier Deschamps, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.