Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi: result 1-1 and analysis
J2/J3 LeagueMatchday 17Kick-off on May 16, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu
Full time
What was the result of Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Sagan Tosu and Renofa Yamaguchi drew 1-1 on May 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 49′N. MatsumotoSagan Tosu
- 62′K. NakashimaRenofa Yamaguchi
Official lineup for Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sagan Tosu
- 88R. Shiohama
- 2N. Matsumoto
- 6T. Sakurai
- 7K. Sakamoto
- 18R. Hyon
- 22K. Yuba
- 77V. Slivka
- 3K. Kamiyama
- 5S. Nagasawa
- 33S. Ogawa
- 12S. Matsubara
Renofa Yamaguchi
- 11K. Fujioka
- 4K. Nakashima
- 6Y. Wakasa
- 7N. Misawa
- 8K. Noyori
- 17K. Tanabe
- 22Y. Okuyama
- 3K. Oiwa
- 5K. Yoshioka
- 38R. Tadokoro
- 21Choi Heong-Chan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagan Tosu have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Oita Trinita(away) | 1-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 6, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J2/J3 League |
| May 2, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 6, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(away) | 4-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 2, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-4 | J2/J3 League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 2-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sagan Tosu win, 1 draw, 2 Renofa Yamaguchi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Sagan Tosu | J2/J3 League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Sagan Tosu | J2 League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Sagan Tosu 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Sagan Tosu 0-2 Renofa Yamaguchi | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagan Tosu score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagan Tosu | 1.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagan Tosu sit 3rd in J2/J3 League (32 points from 18 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 4th (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
A question about Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 16, 2026Albirex Niigata2-1Nara Club
- May 16, 2026Tochigi City3-0Montedio Yamagata
- May 16, 2026Shonan Bellmare0-2Vegalta Sendai
- May 16, 2026Fukushima United0-3Consadole Sapporo
- May 16, 2026Sagamihara1-1Vanraure Hachinohe
- May 16, 2026Jubilo Iwata0-3Fujieda MYFC
- May 16, 2026Ventforet Kofu2-2FC Gifu
- May 17, 2026Oita Trinita1-2Tegevajaro Miyazaki