Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Biwako Shiga (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 1-3 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Biwako Shiga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Biwako Shiga 1-4 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Biwako Shiga | J2/J3 League |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Biwako Shiga | J3 League |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Biwako Shiga 1-4 Renofa Yamaguchi | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Biwako Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Biwako Shiga sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga?
- The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Biwako Shiga.
- Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga played?
- Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Nov 21, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsTochigi SC
- Nov 21, 2026Gainare TottorivsParceiro Nagano
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