Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa YamaguchiBiwako Shiga

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Biwako Shiga (1,713).

Renofa Yamaguchi win48 %
Draw26 %
Biwako Shiga win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nara Club(away)1-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Kagoshima United(away)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)1-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Parceiro Nagano(away)0-1J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Yokohama FC(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Biwako Shiga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Japan Soccer College(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 9, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-3J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Tochigi City(away)1-3J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Biwako Shiga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 6, 2026Biwako Shiga 1-4 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League
Feb 15, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Biwako ShigaJ2/J3 League
Aug 31, 2014Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 Biwako ShigaJ3 League
Apr 6, 2014Biwako Shiga 1-4 Renofa YamaguchiJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Biwako Shiga vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi1.51.5211/159/15
Biwako Shiga1.22.038/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Biwako Shiga sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Biwako Shiga3201676
13Renofa Yamaguchi3102243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga?
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Biwako Shiga.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga played?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Biwako Shiga is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Renofa Yamaguchi and Biwako Shiga

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