Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Quintalão, Dundo
The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Sagrada Esperança (1,659) and Recreativo da Caála (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagrada Esperança have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Recreativo da Caála have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sagrada Esperança win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Recreativo da Caála win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança 1-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Dec 23, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 0-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Jul 19, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Sagrada Esperança 1-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála on May 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagrada Esperança sit 15th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo da Caála sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála?
- The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála played?
- Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Quintalão, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.