São Salvador vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes São Salvador the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win São Salvador vs 1º de Maio?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate São Salvador (1,652) and 1º de Maio (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Salvador have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; 1º de Maio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Luanda City(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Kabuscorp(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 São Salvador win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 1º de Maio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | São Salvador 3-2 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1º de Maio 1-0 São Salvador | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: São Salvador vs 1º de Maio on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
São Salvador score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Salvador | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São Salvador sit 13th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Maio sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | São Salvador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for São Salvador vs 1º de Maio?
- The Footlab model makes São Salvador the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for 1º de Maio.
- Where and when is São Salvador vs 1º de Maio played?
- São Salvador vs 1º de Maio is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 20261º de AgostovsWiliete
- Oct 17, 2026Bravos do Maquis FCvsCD Lunda-Sul
- Oct 17, 2026Petro de LuandavsKabuscorp
- Oct 17, 2026Recreativo do LibolovsInterclube
- Oct 17, 2026Sagrada EsperançavsRecreativo da Caála
- Oct 17, 2026Sporting de CabindavsAcadémica do Lobito
- Oct 17, 2026FC LuandavsDesportivo Huíla