Match

São Salvador vs 1º de Maio: prediction and stats

GirabolaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

São Salvador1º de Maio

The Footlab model makes São Salvador the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for 1º de Maio. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win São Salvador vs 1º de Maio?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate São Salvador (1,652) and 1º de Maio (1,588).

São Salvador win41 %
Draw32 %
1º de Maio win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Salvador have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; 1º de Maio have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

São Salvador
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Interclube(home)0-1Girabola
May 24, 2026Luanda City(home)1-0Girabola
May 20, 2026Kabuscorp(away)1-1Girabola
May 17, 2026Interclube(home)1-1Girabola
May 9, 2026Recreativo do Libolo(away)0-0Girabola
1º de Maio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kabuscorp(home)1-1Girabola
May 24, 2026Sagrada Esperança(away)1-1Girabola
May 20, 2026Desportivo Huíla(home)0-0Girabola
May 16, 2026Petro de Luanda(away)0-0Girabola
May 10, 2026Académica do Lobito(away)1-0Girabola

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 São Salvador win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 1º de Maio win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026São Salvador 3-2 1º de MaioGirabola
Oct 19, 20251º de Maio 1-0 São SalvadorGirabola

Last archived meeting: São Salvador vs 1º de Maio on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

São Salvador score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
São Salvador0.91.147/154/15
1º de Maio1.20.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

São Salvador sit 13th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Maio sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
71º de Maio1010111
13São Salvador1001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for São Salvador vs 1º de Maio?
The Footlab model makes São Salvador the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for 1º de Maio.
Where and when is São Salvador vs 1º de Maio played?
São Salvador vs 1º de Maio is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Girabola.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: São Salvador and 1º de Maio

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