Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Tafe, Cabinda
The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito?
Académica do Lobito starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting de Cabinda have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Académica do Lobito have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting de Cabinda win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Académica do Lobito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2024 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Académica do Lobito 3-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Académica do Lobito 3-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 0-2 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito on Mar 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Académica do Lobito sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito?
- The Footlab model makes Académica do Lobito the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito played?
- Sporting de Cabinda vs Académica do Lobito is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Tafe, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.