Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaMatchday 8Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Şövkət Orduxanov adına stadionu, Gusar
The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Cəbrayıl. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl?
Şahdağ starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,493).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Şahdağ
4-3-3- NNodar Məmmədov
- TTural Qürbətov
- RR. Mansurov
- RR. Əmirquliyev
- RR. Ağalarov
- ÆÆ. QarÉ™hmÉ™dov
- RRubin Seyidov
- RR. Hacıyev
- İİlyas Səfərzadə
- EElnur Şiriyev
- RRafiq Kərimov
Cəbrayıl
4-3-3- NNurlan Quliyev
- EE. Nəsibov
- AAgabakir Hashimli
- SS. Məhərrəmli
- ZZ. Abdurahmanov
- TT. Garayev
- MMəhərrəm Orucov
- SSamir Ibrahimov
- RR. CÉfÉrli
- ZZ. Mirzəzadə
- ƏƏ. Vəliyev
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şahdağ have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Cəbrayıl have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 9-1 | Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Səbail(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şimal(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Səbail(away) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 7-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Karvan(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Şahdağ win, 1 draw, 1 Cəbrayıl win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Şahdağ 0-0 Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Şahdağ 4-2 Cəbrayıl | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Cəbrayıl 3-1 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Şahdağ score 2.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cəbrayıl score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şahdağ | 2.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Cəbrayıl | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şahdağ sit 2nd in Birinci Dasta (15 points from 6 matches) and Cəbrayıl sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cəbrayıl | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
A question about Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl?
- The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Cəbrayıl.
- Where and when is Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl played?
- Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl is played on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Şövkət Orduxanov adına stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.