Şimal vs Zaqatala: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaMatchday 8Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Şimal the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Zaqatala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Şimal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şimal vs Zaqatala?
On Elo ratings, Şimal has 1,408 points and Zaqatala 1,401.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Şimal vs Zaqatala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Şimal
Not enough data to predict the Şimal lineup.
Zaqatala
4-3-3- AAsim Babazadə
- CCəlal Cəbrayilov
- İİ. Əliyev
- YYusif Dilanov
- DD. Mahmudov
- AA. Abazərov
- KK. Müslümov
- NN. Şixəmirov
- CC. Qurbanli
- BB. Teymurov
- II. Marcov
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şimal have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zaqatala have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Karvan(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Araz(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 5-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | MOIK(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marafon(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(away) | 0-7 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Səbail(home) | 1-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-6 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Şimal win, 1 draw, 1 Zaqatala win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Şimal 0-0 Zaqatala | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Zaqatala 3-4 Şimal | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Şimal 0-4 Zaqatala | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Şimal score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zaqatala score 0.9 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şimal | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Zaqatala | 0.9 | 2.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şimal sit 6th in Birinci Dasta (8 points from 7 matches) and Zaqatala sit 8th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Şimal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 |
| 8 | Zaqatala | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Şimal vs Zaqatala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şimal vs Zaqatala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Şimal the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Zaqatala.
- Where and when is Şimal vs Zaqatala played?
- Şimal vs Zaqatala is played on November 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.