Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 63%, against 27% for a draw and 10% for Saint-Luc. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,591, a 369-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint-Luc
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Luc lineup.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Luc have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; TP Mazembe have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Blessing(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Groupe Bazano(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Malole(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Saint-Luc wins, 0 draws, 2 TP Mazembe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | TP Mazembe 3-0 Saint-Luc | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Saint-Luc 1-2 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: TP Mazembe vs Saint-Luc on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Luc score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Luc | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Luc sit 10th in Ligue 1 (35 points from 30 matches) and TP Mazembe sit 1st (73 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 33 | 35 |
A question about Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 63%, against 27% for a draw and 10% for Saint-Luc.
- Where and when is Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe played?
- Saint-Luc vs TP Mazembe is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.