Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, Teheran
The Footlab AI model makes Saipa the favourite at 59%, against 28% for a draw and 13% for Naft Gachsaran. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Saipa starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,632 vs 1,488).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saipa
4-3-3- 9A. Hosseinzadeh
- 11M. Aliyari
- 80R. Seifollahi
- 77M. Barani
- 73S. Moridi
- 66M. Abdi
- 13H. Mahini
- 3K. Nikkhoui
- 23F. Jafari
- 5R. Aliari
- 97Masoud Pourmohammad
Naft Gachsaran
Not enough data to predict the Naft Gachsaran lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saipa have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Naft Gachsaran have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Naft Masjed Soleyman(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Shahin Bandar Ameri(away) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Niroye Zamini(home) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Mes Kerman(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 4-2 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Novin Ahvaz(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Saipa wins, 2 draws, 1 Naft Gachsaran win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran 2-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Saipa 0-0 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Saipa 1-0 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Saipa 2-1 Naft Gachsaran | Azadegan League |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Naft Gachsaran 2-3 Saipa | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Naft Gachsaran vs Saipa on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saipa score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Gachsaran score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saipa | 1.0 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Naft Gachsaran | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saipa sit 3rd in Azadegan League (10 points from 6 matches) and Naft Gachsaran sit 11th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saipa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Naft Gachsaran | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saipa the favourite at 59%, against 28% for a draw and 13% for Naft Gachsaran.
- Where and when is Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran played?
- Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran is played on October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.