Salamanca II vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca II vs Palencia CF?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Salamanca II (1,773) and Palencia CF (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Unami(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Ponferradina II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Salamanca II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Palencia CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Salamanca II 1-0 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Palencia CF 0-3 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Palencia CF 4-0 Salamanca II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Salamanca II 2-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs Palencia CF on Jan 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 64 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Palencia CF.
- Where and when is Salamanca II vs Palencia CF played?
- Salamanca II vs Palencia CF is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027AlmazánvsCultural Leonesa II
- Feb 21, 2027BembibrevsUnionistas II
- Feb 21, 2027Cristo AtléticovsArandina
- Feb 21, 2027Mirandés IIvsGuijuelo
- Feb 21, 2027UD Santa MartavsBurgos Promesas
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético MansillésvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Feb 21, 2027TuréganovsVillaralbo
- Feb 21, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsColegios Diocesanos