Match

Salamanca II vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca

Salamanca IIPalencia CF

The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Palencia CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salamanca II vs Palencia CF?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Salamanca II (1,773) and Palencia CF (1,808).

Salamanca II win39 %
Draw27 %
Palencia CF win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salamanca II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2023Real Ávila(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023Unami(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023Ponferradina II(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Salamanca II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Palencia CF win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 15, 2023Salamanca II 1-0 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 11, 2022Palencia CF 0-3 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 26, 2022Palencia CF 4-0 Salamanca IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 13, 2021Salamanca II 2-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs Palencia CF on Jan 15, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salamanca II1.30.775/157/15
Palencia CF1.71.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Palencia CF3420410593964

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salamanca II vs Palencia CF?
The Footlab model makes Salamanca II the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Palencia CF.
Where and when is Salamanca II vs Palencia CF played?
Salamanca II vs Palencia CF is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salamanca II and Palencia CF

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