Cristo Atlético vs Arandina: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Arandina. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Arandina?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,731).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cristo Atlético vs Arandina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cristo Atlético
Not enough data to predict the Cristo Atlético lineup.
Arandina
Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Arandina have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bembibre(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turégano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cristo Atlético wins, 1 draw, 1 Arandina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arandina 1-3 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Arandina 0-2 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 1-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Cristo Atlético 1-0 Arandina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Arandina 2-0 Cristo Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Aug 24, 2022 | Arandina 2-2 Cristo Atlético | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arandina vs Cristo Atlético on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cristo Atlético score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristo Atlético | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Arandina | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cristo Atlético sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (22 points from 9 matches) and Arandina sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristo Atlético | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 | Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Cristo Atlético vs Arandina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Arandina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Arandina.
- Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Arandina played?
- Cristo Atlético vs Arandina is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027AlmazánvsCultural Leonesa II
- Feb 21, 2027BembibrevsUnionistas II
- Feb 21, 2027Mirandés IIvsGuijuelo
- Feb 21, 2027Salamanca IIvsPalencia CF
- Feb 21, 2027UD Santa MartavsBurgos Promesas
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético MansillésvsLa Virgen del Camino
- Feb 21, 2027TuréganovsVillaralbo
- Feb 21, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsColegios Diocesanos