Where and when is Palencia CF vs Salamanca II played?

Palencia CF vs Salamanca II is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Palencia CF vs Salamanca II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Palencia CF

Salamanca II

The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Salamanca II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palencia CF vs Salamanca II?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Palencia CF (1,804) and Salamanca II (1,769).

Palencia CF win58 %

Draw23 %

Salamanca II win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Salamanca II have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palencia CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026	Cristo Atlético(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Salamanca II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2023	Real Ávila(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 16, 2023	Unami(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 8, 2023	Ponferradina II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2023	Arandina(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 25, 2023	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Palencia CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Salamanca II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 15, 2023	Salamanca II 1-0 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 11, 2022	Palencia CF 0-3 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mar 26, 2022	Palencia CF 4-0 Salamanca II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 13, 2021	Salamanca II 2-1 Palencia CF	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Salamanca II vs Palencia CF on Jan 15, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca II score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Palencia CF	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	10/15
Salamanca II	1.3	0.7	7	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Palencia CF	34	20	4	10	59	39	64

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Salamanca II?: The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Salamanca II.
Where and when is Palencia CF vs Salamanca II played?: Palencia CF vs Salamanca II is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.