Match

Salernitana vs Casarano: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Arechi, Salerno

SalernitanaCasarano

The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salernitana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salernitana vs Casarano?

On Elo ratings, Salernitana has 1,871 points and Casarano 1,827.

56%25%19%
Salernitana winDrawCasarano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Salernitana vs Casarano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Salernitana

3-5-2
  1. 11E. D'Ursi
  2. 20A. La Gumina
  1. 16M. Llano
  2. 32M. Vitale
  3. 8M. Tascone
  4. 6K. de Boer
  5. 4E. Gyabuaa
  1. 73S. Pieraccini
  2. 5D. Celiento
  3. 33A. Anastasio
  1. 12C. Galeotti

Casarano

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Chiricò
  2. 11V. Ferrara
  3. 9F. Grandolfo
  1. 23G. Logoluso
  2. 17R. Maiello
  3. 21N. Zanellato
  1. 33M. Mercadante
  2. 2P. Ciotti
  3. 36E. Matino
  4. 3F. Giraudo
  1. 97A. Farroni

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salernitana have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Casarano have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salernitana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Scafatese(home)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Oct 11, 2026Casarano(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Bari(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Crotone(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Giugliano(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Casarano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Salernitana(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Sorrento(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026SS Monopoli(home)0-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Savoia(away)1-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Salernitana win, 2 draws, 0 Casarano wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Casarano 0-0 SalernitanaSerie C - Girone C
Feb 10, 2026Salernitana 3-0 CasaranoSerie C - Girone C
Sep 28, 2025Casarano 2-2 SalernitanaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Casarano vs Salernitana on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salernitana score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salernitana1.31.2311/157/15
Casarano1.21.345/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salernitana sit 9th in Serie C - Girone C (13 points from 9 matches) and Casarano sit 14th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Salernitana9342121013
14Casarano9324101311

A question about Salernitana vs Casarano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salernitana vs Casarano?
The Footlab AI model makes Salernitana the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Casarano.
Where and when is Salernitana vs Casarano played?
Salernitana vs Casarano is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arechi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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