Scafatese vs Salernitana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 29Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale 28 settembre 1943, Scafati
The Footlab model makes Scafatese the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Salernitana. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scafatese vs Salernitana?
Scafatese starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,995 vs 1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scafatese have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Salernitana have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Giugliano(away) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Vado(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Scafatese win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Salernitana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salernitana 1-2 Scafatese | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Salernitana vs Scafatese on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scafatese score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salernitana score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scafatese | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Salernitana | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scafatese sit 9th in Serie C - Girone C (1 points from 1 matches) and Salernitana sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Scafatese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scafatese vs Salernitana?
- The Footlab model makes Scafatese the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Salernitana.
- Where and when is Scafatese vs Salernitana played?
- Scafatese vs Salernitana is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale 28 settembre 1943, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.