SS Monopoli vs Casertana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab AI model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Casertana. The most likely score is 1-1. If SS Monopoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Casertana?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,830) and Casertana (1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SS Monopoli vs Casertana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SS Monopoli
3-4-2-1- 10M. Fall
- 8C. Battocchio
- 15J. Greco
- 19R. Calcagni
- 18S. Paukstys
- 72A. Cortinovis
- 60F. Gioielli
- 16B. Valenti
- 33E. Olivieri
- 6S. Piccinini
- 22M. Tommasi
Casertana
3-5-2- 10J. Manconi
- 9D. Castelli
- 18S. Oukhadda
- 21F. Vezzoni
- 16S. Pezzella
- 8S. Girelli
- 32F. Di Tacchio
- 23P. Martino
- 4I. Kontek
- 11G. Favale
- 1V. De Lucia
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Casertana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Inter U23(away) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SS Monopoli win, 2 draws, 3 Casertana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casertana 3-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Casertana 2-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 9, 2025 | SS Monopoli 1-1 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 23, 2025 | SS Monopoli 1-0 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Casertana 0-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SS Monopoli 1-2 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Casertana vs SS Monopoli on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Casertana score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Casertana | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Monopoli sit 8th in Serie C - Girone C (15 points from 10 matches) and Casertana sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Casertana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | SS Monopoli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
A question about SS Monopoli vs Casertana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Casertana?
- The Footlab AI model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Casertana.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Casertana played?
- SS Monopoli vs Casertana is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.