Salgueiros vs Alpendorada: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, Porto
The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiros the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Alpendorada. The most likely score is 0-0. If Salgueiros wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salgueiros vs Alpendorada?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Salgueiros (1,913) and Alpendorada (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Salgueiros vs Alpendorada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Salgueiros
Not enough data to predict the Salgueiros lineup.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 11Jucélio
- 45Pauleta
- 93Nilo Souza
- 47M. Borges
- 8B. Tavares
- 10Jony
- 16Simão Melhôr
- 2H. Meireles
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 23Pepe
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgueiros have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Alpendorada have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cinfães(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Salgueiros wins, 1 draw, 1 Alpendorada win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Salgueiros 0-2 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Alpendorada 1-2 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Salgueiros 0-0 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Alpendorada 0-1 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Alpendorada 0-1 Salgueiros | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Salgueiros 5-4 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Salgueiros vs Alpendorada on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salgueiros score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alpendorada score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgueiros | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Alpendorada | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salgueiros sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (6 points from 4 matches) and Alpendorada sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Salgueiros vs Alpendorada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salgueiros vs Alpendorada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiros the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Alpendorada.
- Where and when is Salgueiros vs Alpendorada played?
- Salgueiros vs Alpendorada is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.