Match

Salgueiros vs Sousense: prediction and stats

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 20Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, Porto

SalgueirosSousense

The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiros the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Sousense. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salgueiros vs Sousense?

Salgueiros starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,795).

57%28%15%
Salgueiros winDrawSousense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Salgueiros vs Sousense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Salgueiros

Not enough data to predict the Salgueiros lineup.

Sousense

Not enough data to predict the Sousense lineup.

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgueiros have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Sousense have 2, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salgueiros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Castro Daire(away)0-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 19, 2026Feirense(home)1-0Taça de Portugal
Sep 13, 2026Cinfães(home)1-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 4, 2026Machico(home)1-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 30, 2026Sousense(home)2-1Taça de Portugal
Sousense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026União Lamas(home)3-3Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Sep 6, 2026Ovarense(away)0-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 30, 2026Salgueiros(away)1-2Taça de Portugal
Aug 22, 2026Castro Daire(home)0-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Aug 16, 2026Cinfães(away)0-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Salgueiros win, 0 draws, 0 Sousense wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Salgueiros 2-1 SousenseTaça de Portugal

Last archived meeting: Salgueiros vs Sousense on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salgueiros score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sousense score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salgueiros0.80.957/152/15
Sousense0.91.914/105/10

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salgueiros sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (6 points from 4 matches) and Sousense sit 14th (1 point from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Salgueiros4130436
14Sousense4013381

A question about Salgueiros vs Sousense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salgueiros vs Sousense?
The Footlab AI model makes Salgueiros the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Sousense.
Where and when is Salgueiros vs Sousense played?
Salgueiros vs Sousense is played on February 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Salgueiros and Sousense

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