Sousense vs Alpendorada: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 1º De Dezembro, Foz do Sousa
The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sousense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alpendorada wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sousense vs Alpendorada?
Alpendorada starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sousense vs Alpendorada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sousense
Not enough data to predict the Sousense lineup.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 11Jucélio
- 45Pauleta
- 93Nilo Souza
- 47M. Borges
- 8B. Tavares
- 10Jony
- 16Simão Melhôr
- 2H. Meireles
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 23Pepe
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Sousense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Alpendorada have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | União Lamas(home) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Castro Daire(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Sousense score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 11; Alpendorada score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sousense | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 4/10 | 5/10 |
| Alpendorada | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sousense sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (1 point from 4 matches) and Alpendorada sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Sousense vs Alpendorada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sousense vs Alpendorada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alpendorada the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sousense.
- Where and when is Sousense vs Alpendorada played?
- Sousense vs Alpendorada is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 1º De Dezembro, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.