Match

Salisbury vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire

SalisburyChelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Salisbury vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,760) and Chelmsford City (1,842).

Salisbury win40 %
Draw24 %
Chelmsford City win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Salisbury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chelmsford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Chelmsford City 2-2 SalisburyNational League - South
Nov 22, 2025Salisbury 3-0 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Feb 15, 2025Salisbury 1-3 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Oct 26, 2024Chelmsford City 2-1 SalisburyNational League - South
Jan 11, 2020Chelmsford City 4-0 SalisburyFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Salisbury on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Salisbury3111624
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Chelmsford City?
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Salisbury vs Chelmsford City played?
Salisbury vs Chelmsford City is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Salisbury and Chelmsford City

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