Match

Maidenhead vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadDover

The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maidenhead wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Dover?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,852) and Dover (1,834).

45%27%28%
Maidenhead winDrawDover win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Dover

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Maidenhead

4-3-3
  1. AA. Pendlebury
  2. 27C. Hall
  3. 19D. Nkrumah
  1. 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
  2. 21J. Coley
  3. 36J. Johnson
  1. 22M. Welch-Hayes
  2. 19Owen Cochrane
  3. 28J. McMenemy
  4. AAlfie Calver
  1. 1J. van Stappershoef

Dover

Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Dover have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Sep 26, 2026Chesham United(away)4-0National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Ebbsfleet United(home)1-3FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-2National League - South
Sep 8, 2026Torquay(home)0-4National League - South
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)1-1National League - South
Oct 3, 2026Hanwell Town(away)2-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026AFC Totton(home)2-0National League - South
Sep 19, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)4-2FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Farnborough(away)1-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Maidenhead wins, 0 draws, 0 Dover wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Dover 0-3 MaidenheadNational League - South
Apr 18, 2026Maidenhead 1-0 DoverNational League - South
Aug 30, 2025Dover 1-2 MaidenheadNational League - South
Apr 9, 2022Dover 0-1 MaidenheadNational League
Aug 28, 2021Maidenhead 2-0 DoverNational League
Nov 26, 2019Dover 3-4 MaidenheadNational League

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Maidenhead on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.245/155/15
Dover1.81.539/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 16th in National League - South (13 points from 11 matches) and Dover sit 8th (18 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Dover11533181718
16Maidenhead11344121213

A question about Maidenhead vs Dover?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Dover?
The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Dover.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Dover played?
Maidenhead vs Dover is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidenhead and Dover

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