Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Salisbury played?

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford City

Salisbury

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Chelmsford City (1,838) and Salisbury (1,756).

Chelmsford City win52 %

Draw24 %

Salisbury win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

Salisbury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Horsham(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hampton & Richmond(home)	5-0	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Havant & Wville(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Frome Town(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Chelmsford City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Salisbury win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Chelmsford City 2-2 Salisbury	National League - South
Nov 22, 2025	Salisbury 3-0 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Feb 15, 2025	Salisbury 1-3 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Oct 26, 2024	Chelmsford City 2-1 Salisbury	National League - South
Jan 11, 2020	Chelmsford City 4-0 Salisbury	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Salisbury on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15
Salisbury	2.3	1.3	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Salisbury	3	1	1	1	6	2	4
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?: The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Salisbury.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Salisbury played?: Chelmsford City vs Salisbury is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.