Salyut-Belgorod vs Metallurg Lipetsk: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Salyut Belgorod, Belgorod
The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Metallurg Lipetsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salyut-Belgorod vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Salyut-Belgorod (1,718) and Metallurg Lipetsk (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salyut-Belgorod have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Metallurg Lipetsk have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orel(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kristall MEZ(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avangard Kursk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Murom(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ryazan(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rotor-2(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Salyut-Belgorod win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Metallurg Lipetsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Metallurg Lipetsk 1-1 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Metallurg Lipetsk 2-1 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Salyut-Belgorod 1-0 Metallurg Lipetsk | Second League - Group 3 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Salyut-Belgorod 0-4 Metallurg Lipetsk | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Metallurg Lipetsk 2-2 Salyut-Belgorod | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| May 28, 2023 | Salyut-Belgorod 0-0 Metallurg Lipetsk | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Metallurg Lipetsk vs Salyut-Belgorod on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salyut-Belgorod score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metallurg Lipetsk score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salyut-Belgorod | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Metallurg Lipetsk | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salyut-Belgorod sit 3rd in Second League - Group 3 (39 points from 20 matches) and Metallurg Lipetsk sit 4th (38 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Salyut-Belgorod | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salyut-Belgorod vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
- The Footlab model makes Salyut-Belgorod the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Metallurg Lipetsk.
- Where and when is Salyut-Belgorod vs Metallurg Lipetsk played?
- Salyut-Belgorod vs Metallurg Lipetsk is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Salyut Belgorod, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.