Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Trudovye Reservy, Kursk
The Footlab AI model makes Shumbrat the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Avangard Kursk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shumbrat wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat?
On Elo ratings, Avangard Kursk has 1,523 points and Shumbrat 1,618.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avangard Kursk
4-3-3- 11V. Ignatenko
- 10M. Slobodchikov
- 26S. Borisov
- 94A. Nadolskiy
- 25A. Nekrasov
- 88N. Khvat
- 7K. Balashov
- 46A. Sukharev
- 78D. Kumsarov
- 67V. Kozyrev
- 13E. Skorobogatko
Shumbrat
Not enough data to predict the Shumbrat lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avangard Kursk have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Shumbrat have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(away) | 1-5 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ryazan(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotor-2(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kvant(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salyut-Belgorod(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Orel(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Avangard Kursk wins, 1 draw, 0 Shumbrat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Shumbrat 0-0 Avangard Kursk | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Shumbrat vs Avangard Kursk on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avangard Kursk score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shumbrat score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avangard Kursk | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Shumbrat | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avangard Kursk sit 8th in Second League - Group 3 (30 points from 22 matches) and Shumbrat sit 3rd (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 40 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 30 |
A question about Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shumbrat the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Avangard Kursk.
- Where and when is Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat played?
- Avangard Kursk vs Shumbrat is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Trudovye Reservy, in the Second League - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.