Samambaia vs Ceilândia: result 2-1 and analysis
BrasilienseMatchday 2Kick-off on January 18, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Samambaia vs Ceilândia?
Samambaia won 2-1 on January 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′Diego XavierSamambaia
- 54′634724Samambaia
- 57′MatheusCeilândia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samambaia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ceilândia have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Capital Brasilia(away) | 2-2 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ceilandense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Real FC(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Sobradinho EC(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Barra(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Barra(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Água Santa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Água Santa(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Samambaia win, 1 draw, 2 Ceilândia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Ceilândia 1-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Samambaia 0-3 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Samambaia 3-0 Ceilândia | Brasiliense |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Ceilândia 8-1 Samambaia | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Ceilândia vs Samambaia on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Samambaia score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ceilândia score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samambaia | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ceilândia | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samambaia sit 2nd in Brasiliense (20 points from 9 matches) and Ceilândia sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Ceilândia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Samambaia vs Ceilândia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy