Samambaia vs Paranoá: result 2-3 and analysis
Brasiliense1st Phase - 9Kick-off on March 18, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
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What was the result of Samambaia vs Paranoá?
Paranoá won 2-3 on March 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′?Samambaia
- 37′?Paranoá
- 48′?Samambaia (pen.)
- 73′?Paranoá
- 79′?Paranoá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Samambaia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Paranoá have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | Gama(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Real FC(away) | 0-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Ceilândia(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Brasília(home) | 3-0 | Brasiliense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Real FC(home) | 1-3 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Taguatinga(home) | 2-2 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Capital Brasilia(away) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Gama(home) | 1-1 | Brasiliense |
How many goals should we expect?
Samambaia score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 14; Paranoá score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samambaia | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/14 | 11/14 |
| Paranoá | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samambaia sit 2nd in Brasiliense (20 points from 9 matches) and Paranoá sit 8th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samambaia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Samambaia vs Paranoá?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy