Sambenedettese vs Pineto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
The Footlab AI model makes Sambenedettese the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pineto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sambenedettese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Pineto?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Sambenedettese (1,777) and Pineto (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sambenedettese vs Pineto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sambenedettese
3-5-2- 9L. Sgarbi
- 93S. Magnaghi
- 6M. Piccoli
- 30S. Nicoli
- 37M. Toure
- 18K. Candellori
- 8G. Tunjov
- 17L. Pezzola
- 4A. Zini
- 29A. Camigliano
- 12T. Krapikas
Pineto
3-4-2-1- 9G. Vigliotti
- 21L. Lombardi
- 8G. Germinario
- 99A. Pellegrino
- 15D. Ferrante
- 4G. Nebuloso
- 7G. Guadagni
- 52D. Frare
- 3Simone Ienco
- 13G. Alessandretti
- 22A. Tonti
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sambenedettese have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pineto have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sambenedettese win, 3 draws, 2 Pineto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pineto 2-1 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Pineto 0-0 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sambenedettese 1-1 Pineto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Pineto 0-0 Sambenedettese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Sambenedettese 0-3 Pineto | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 22, 2022 | Pineto 1-2 Sambenedettese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Pineto vs Sambenedettese on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pineto score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sambenedettese | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Pineto | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sambenedettese sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 10 matches) and Pineto sit 17th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pineto | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Sambenedettese vs Pineto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sambenedettese vs Pineto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sambenedettese the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Pineto.
- Where and when is Sambenedettese vs Pineto played?
- Sambenedettese vs Pineto is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Riviera delle Palme, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.