Latina vs Gubbio: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, Latina
The Footlab model makes Latina the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Latina vs Gubbio?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Latina (1,783) and Gubbio (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Latina have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gubbio have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Latina win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gubbio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Latina 1-0 Gubbio | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Latina score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gubbio score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Gubbio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Latina sit 13th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Gubbio sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Latina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Latina vs Gubbio?
- The Footlab model makes Latina the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Latina vs Gubbio played?
- Latina vs Gubbio is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Domenico Francioni, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.